It’s about that time again. Every four weeks we ask Colorado Pols readers who they think will win the respective nominations for President. We ask the question in this manner in order to gauge changing perceptions (take a look at the changing fortunes of Republican contenders).
Mitt Romney edged out frequent winner Rudy Giuliani in the last poll. Click below to vote, minus New York mayor Michael Bloomberg who’s not a Republican anymore.
Remember, we don’t want to know who you support – we want to know who you think will end up as the nominee.
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Sorry – they all look like they’re imploding equally quickly.
At this rate Ron Paul may win by default.
BTW – Ted Stevens? He of the “I might be in trouble if there’s an investigation” quote last week?
Romney’s running the smartest campaign at this point even though it’s not catching on nationally.
Rudy is not a family man, to put it mildly. His wife is a liability. The NYC-based media hate him.
Thompson may have been caught lying about lobbying for Planned Parenthood in 1991. Lies hurt.
McCain’s campaign manager and top strategist quit or were fired today. As I’ve said before, McCain’s done, imho. There’s no fresh there, nor any straight talking.
Single digit candidates will quit sooner or later.
Wasn’t caught lying at all. It’s an attack piece that was a setup. The headline is the only part of the story. There’s nothing at all to it.
I thought he’s pleading “no recollection” re: lobbying for P.P. That’s a time-honored way to dodge an embarrassing prior inconsistency in politics.
but only after he hoses down the place after causing a mess through indifference…
There’s enough out there on Romney without his flip-flopping all over the place that I wouldn’t place a bet on him. Same with Giuliani. McCain’s imploding. Thompson turns out to be a Nixon accomplice during the investigation.
What’s to like, assuming I were looking at this as a completely open-minded voter?
I think they’re going to dig up Reagan and run him like “Weekend at Bernie’s”
I laughed very hard after visiting this blog yesterday:
http://dogsagainstro…
Monday’s entry is entitled: “Ghost Dog: Seamus Barks from the Great Beyond”
about all the Republican candidates, not just Rudy.
The NYC-based media hate him.
John McCain is struggling. Wouldn’t be surprised to see him drop out this month.
McCain’s staff is jumping ship.
http://www.washingto…
And I’m not sorry to see Grampa McCain go. Any day now.
He always seems to enjoy his visits to Iraq. Maybe he’d like to move there and get involved in politics……
His two main staffers.
McCain is sinking like a brick of crap
Romney has essentially already won Iowa, is beating Rudy in New Hampshire and Nevada, and S. Carolina is between Fred and Mitt. The only state that Rudy is leading in is Florida.
Mitt Romney is a phenom, folks.
Doobie is becoming infuriated that we all don’t think the same
We are all entitled to our opinion of which candidate we believe is going to win. While the only top R who is not a flip flopper is McCain, his campaign is anchored to Iraq. But if Romney keeps killing dogs and talking about who has the bigger Gitmo, he’s not going to need a Dean moment since it’s been one longer disaster.
Do you, you know, take a little time to actually read what you write? That was almost laughable it was so nutty.
We’re waaaay out from any primaries. Look at the last several elections. The presumptive leader at this stage has not gone on to get the nomination, so Romney’s momentum at this point isn’t much of a barometer.
Additionally, his fundraising is slowing. He had to pitch in an increasing amount of personal funds in order not to make this quarter’s take look worse.
Having said that, he’s the least despicable of the GOP nominees. He’s a flip-flopping, pandering liar, but may not be a thug like Guiliani (whom I picked in this poll).
And I can tell you that it won’t be Romney. If it is, Hil wins in a stroll. VP, sure, but there’s no way most moderate R’s are going to vote for a Mormon as President. No offense intended Dobby or Haner. Fred/Mitt? Yep. Mitt/?? Nope.
because he’s a vegetarian.
There are lots of other reasons why Dennis Kucinich didn’t/doesn’t deserve to win, but being a vegetarian trumps them all. There will be a gay Hispanic female President before there’s one who doesn’t eat meat.
(I say this as a liberal and a vegetarian of 22 years.)
Same for Romney. Mormonism is a deserved liability and will kneecap his candidacy profoundly if he gets the GOP nomination.
(I say this as someone who grew up in Western Colorado near the Utah border, among many LDS families. Nice people, insane church.)
Bigoted comments like that are actually going to push more and more conservatives into the Romney Camp. When you lefties go crazy on Mitt’s Mormon faith, it just makes conservatives want to stick it in the eye of the left by voting for Mitt.
I could care less about his religion, but the man just isn’t a conservative. He takes every opportunity to expand the size and scope of government. One only has to look at what he did as Governor.
Mitt’s tanked in recent polls with self-identified evangelicals who say they wouldn’t vote for a Mormon. Obviously whether liberals are bigoted or not isn’t even an issue here because no liberal is going to vote for any Republican in 2008, certainly not for one who loves the occupation and wants a bigger better Gitmo. Get a grip.
Dobby, Dobby, Dobby…
1.Its going to be the followers of your very own hero, Dobby.
2.Every month you are on a ‘new’ bandwagon, speaking as if your flavor of the month is the second incarnation. Can you list a few times that your analysis has been right, on anything?
Thanks.
RB-ClubTwitty “The Noise of the Western Slope”
You have a source for that, or is that just your opinion?
The number one group opposed to Mormons are liberal Dems, followed by hard-core righties. That’s according to the LA Times/Bloomberg poll that came out a few months back.
I would agree that some hard-core religious right people would have an issue with the mormon factor, but not most moderates. Being judgmental doesn’t make one moderate.
They know how remarkable a man Mitt is and they’re hoping beyond hope that some imaginary bigotry will stop his meteoric rise. But, Haners, you and I both know that this is little more than wishful thinking.
He’s speaking at the Lincoln Day Dinner next week, and I’m going. I can’t wait…
I would love to see Romney rise above the close mindedness people have been showing since he announced. Best of luck to him
…otherwise I’d be there. Mitt will do fine. You’ll also have your Buchanan Brigade and the typically angry left-wing, but Romney will do just fine. I think he can win Colorado by double digits.
Double digits? As a Republican, I hope you’re right-but I think CO is going to be close up and down the ballot in ’08.
Hope you can make it to the next event!
The legislature will be status quo, the Senate race will be neck and neck, and the GOP POTUS candidate will win comfortably.
It’s just the Colorado way. That’s how it ALWAYS happens and so shall it forever be. Until Jesus comes back. Then everyone will vote Republican.
and we will review your ridiculous claims later when they turn out to be completely wrong.
Much like your February predictions on the war in Iraq that I saved and posted again a few weeks ago, it will be embarrasing for you.
Dr.
You crack me up.
RB-ClubTwitty “The Dinosaurs of the Western Slope”
It was a political error to invite him, and not because he’s not my candidate of choice. I would say the same thing if he were my candidate of choice. In fact, I would then have recommended he stay away. The local party will be embarrassed and he’ll look lame as a result. With so many candidates in the race at this time, there’s no one candidate that is strongly appealing to even 30% of the Republicans nationally or locally. As a result, inviting Romney appears as if the El Paso County Republican party is purporting to endorse him–which it is not doing. The appearance, however, is there and it’s quite real. Consequently, because the great majority of the El Paso Republican party members are supporting someone OTHER THAN Romney, they’re not willing to pony up to give Romney a forum in which to look good to the detriment of their candidates–and the pricing this year is over the top expensive. This will be the lamest turnout ever in El Paso County. Haners, if you’ve been to any prior Lincoln Day dinners, you’ll have the baseline in which to make a comparison and can comment later.
I’m looking forward to it.
One thing though-the invitations were sent out way late, which I don’t like. You’d think they would have given more notice.
While this will be my first lincoln day dinner, there will be others I’ll be with who would have attended them in the past. I’ll ask.
Do you still support “state’s rights” or do you give a nod to ol’ abe who opposed “state’s rights”? 😉
About all the cool civil rights/liberties he was able to suppress. 🙂
you are all “Right” in my book.
And again, I mean no disrespect to any of the Mormon’s on the board. It’s just a little much for me, I know, and a couple of my friends talked about it and concurred. That means absolutely nothing.
Of course, if he’s nominated, I’ll be the one in the front row wearing the big foam “Romney ’08” cowboy hat.
Didn’t mean to contract the word “Mormon’s”. Please forgive my horrible editing error.
Is that I don’t think moderates are going to be the ones turned off by Romney’s mormonism. One, it’s a gut feeling and two, there’s polling to support that. So I was curious as to whether you had seen something different.
I hope I didn’t come across as offended, because I wasn’t. I was just surprised at your conclusion.
Bad bigoted liberals don’t agree with ANY of Mitt’s positions and wouldn’t no matter WHAT his religion might be. How does the question of whether or not liberal Dems are bigots have anything to do with who will be the Republican candidate? I guess it’s just habit, like the old all purpose Clinton or Ted Kennedy did something worse default position.
I didn’t bring it up to trash liberals. I brought it up to try and illustrate the point that moderate republicans aren’t the ones that are the most concerned about Romney’s religion. In order to do that, I had to say which group was.
If you call that winning, well then, you may be right.
He offered someone a check did he? Wow-I’d love to see that article…
Trying to raise money, getting volunteers, meeting with people, running advertisements, holding meetings… what is he thinking! Doesn’t he know is supposed to be running a campaign, not buying votes!
but think where the large numbers of delegates come from. Pennslyvannia, Ohio, Florida, California, New York. All states where Giuliani has a comfortable lead over Romney. And while Romney’s fund-raising is impressive, it doesn’t dwarf Giuliani’s by a whole lot, plus where Romney will need to spend the most money is in the most expensive states, namely the aforementioned ones where he has to catch up with Rudy.
Romney could win all four of the first primaries, but still flounder when the big states come to bat. With the earlier heavy-loaded primary season the usual momentum gained from those victories won’t be enough for Mitt to overcome Rudy.
If Romney does win the first few primary states, do you think that will give him enough momentum to catch up in the bigger states?
in the past momentum generally meant that big donors would shift camps, the winners would get a ton of free media, and people would start to see the Iowa/NH winner as an inevitability. However, now that there is limited time in between the early victories and the big primaries there will also be less time for shifting donor dollars to be spent, along with less time in the victory headlines. So, no, I don’t personally think that Romney’s early state victories could make up any big difference on their own, but if he’s able to narrow the gap in the bigger states before next January and before Super Duper Tuesday, then maybe those first wins will be enough to push him over the top.
But really, who knows. The primary season has never been this front-loaded, so I could end up being totally off-track here.
But you have to believe the big money matters, because of superduper tuesday. There is little time for slow quiet messages to percolate up.
I have about Guiliani’s position is that his campaign doesn’t have the organizational strength that Romney’s has. Sure, organization isn’t everything (that one is for you, McCain)-but if Romney’s win collapses Guiliani’s numbers in the big states, he may not be able to recover.
Also, I think that there may be an assumption out there that Romney has Iowa and N.H. sewn up, and that he will rely solely on those wins to propel him to the larger states. I think that within the next quarter, we will see his campaign start to make a more concentrated presence in South Carolina, FL, PA, CA, etc.
….his face!
JANUS !
The creators of our CONSTITUTION would be proud. The fact that Ron Paul treats it like it still matters is awesome, his voting record speaks for itself, go Ron go, all the way to the White House. America: VOTE FOR RON PAUL!
If you’ll notice, this thread isn’t about who you want to win, it’s about who looks like they’re jockeying for the nod right now.